Hello everyone. A couple days ago I found an article (link
below) on a report which suggests that about 45% of US jobs could be replaced
by computerized automation in the next two decades. Now this number seems high
to me, although admittedly I have no expertise in the area to draw on, and I
suspect similar reports have appeared since the dawn of the computer age,
probably even before. The point remains, however, that our economy is somewhere
in the process of upgrading to a more efficient, computerized economy. Since this
involves a large degree of automation, I think it’s safe to say that some jobs
will unfortunately be lost as computers perform more and more routine tasks
that would typically be performed by a human.
While the idea behind this study may not be entirely new, I
think it does offer a good opportunity to reflect on how this connects to what
we are learning in class. Admittedly this is more of a topic for future weeks
of the course, but hopefully everyone has or will read ahead this week in
preparation for the first paper. Two areas which the authors believe will be
hit first are transportation and minor administration, both of which are
central to the idea of a control society as argued by Beniger in our readings.
Modern transportation technologies required new methods of control, and one
method of control which developed was the bureaucracy. I cannot think of a term
that screams administration to me more than “bureaucracy”.
Now we have two aspects of the control revolution being replaced
by, or perhaps integrating with, computers, a key part of both postindustrial
and network societies. One could argue that this is a decline in control revolution behavior in the US, traditional transportation and administration by humans, in favor of a different type of society with computers, perhaps a network
society. These terms are ambiguous enough that I think an argument such as that
would be valid. I think an equally valid argument could be made to the
opposite: by implementing computers in our transportation and administration
systems, we will be exerting ever greater and more autonomous control over our
social structures. In this case despite computers traditionally being a
technology of one of our later areas of study, they are being used in a more “traditional”
role of the control revolution.
How do you think computers (potentially) taking over human
jobs relates to what we are learning in class? Just like everybody else on the
internet, I’ll ask you to leave a comment below if you have anything to share
on what I’ve said.
Sources:
James Beniger, “The Control Revolution,” in Albert H. Teich,
ed., Technology and the Future
(1990).
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